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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+2.92vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.03+3.98vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77+0.49vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.06+1.70vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.47+1.88vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.52-1.51vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38-4.80vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.17-2.04vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94-1.20vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.21-1.51vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.54-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92North Carolina State University1.2616.0%1st Place
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3.92University of South Florida1.0917.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Miami-0.033.7%1st Place
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4.49Florida State University0.7713.2%1st Place
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6.7Rollins College-0.065.4%1st Place
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7.88North Carolina State University-0.473.0%1st Place
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5.49University of South Florida0.528.8%1st Place
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3.2Jacksonville University-1.3823.6%1st Place
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6.96Eckerd College-0.174.2%1st Place
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8.8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.942.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Florida-1.211.9%1st Place
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10.16Embry-Riddle University-1.541.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 16.0% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 17.0% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 7.8% |
| Heidi Hicks | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Emily Allen | 23.6% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 15.4% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 24.2% | 25.4% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.