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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University1.20+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo0.40+2.20vs Predicted
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3Ohio University-0.02+1.98vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.66-1.27vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.38-1.76vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.34-3.73vs Predicted
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10Denison University-0.69-3.80vs Predicted
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11Miami University-0.45-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Miami University1.200.3%1st Place
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4.2University of Toledo0.400.1%1st Place
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4.98Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.73Michigan State University0.660.2%1st Place
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4.24Ohio State University0.380.1%1st Place
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4.27Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.2Denison University-0.690.0%1st Place
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5.67Miami University-0.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Fisher | 29.8% | 24.3% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Irwin | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 5.7% |
| Evan Graves | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 14.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 15.7% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Gwendolyn Mulvey | 11.0% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 5.4% |
| David Aspery | 12.7% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 6.7% |
| Tara Foster | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 20.2% | 39.6% |
| Peter Hilsch | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.