Race 5A

saisa-women-top-18-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Katie Nelson 12.2% 14.0% 13.6% 13.6% 11.7% 12.2% 10.0% 6.5% 3.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
KA Hamner 4.8% 6.0% 6.5% 6.0% 8.8% 11.5% 11.2% 12.0% 13.2% 11.4% 6.6% 2.0%
Emma Shakespeare 17.5% 15.8% 15.6% 13.9% 12.3% 9.9% 7.0% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Olivia Sowa 16.0% 15.6% 14.9% 15.6% 13.1% 10.5% 6.9% 4.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Emily Allen 24.1% 21.9% 18.1% 13.0% 9.3% 6.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 4.7% 4.5% 5.2% 7.0% 8.1% 8.8% 12.6% 13.1% 14.1% 12.0% 8.0% 2.1%
Heidi Hicks 7.9% 8.8% 9.3% 10.8% 12.8% 11.2% 12.4% 11.4% 8.3% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
Martina Amunarriz 2.7% 3.0% 3.5% 5.0% 5.7% 7.2% 10.0% 12.9% 12.9% 15.9% 13.7% 7.5%
Arantxa Argibay 5.2% 4.7% 6.9% 6.9% 8.8% 10.0% 11.5% 13.6% 12.6% 11.1% 6.4% 2.6%
Zuzanna Barska 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 5.0% 6.4% 10.0% 13.5% 23.1% 26.6%
Lauren Mellinger 2.2% 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 4.1% 5.3% 6.2% 9.0% 12.7% 16.5% 19.8% 15.1%
Rylie Cataldo 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 2.6% 3.4% 4.8% 7.8% 11.2% 19.5% 43.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.