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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University1.20+1.74vs Predicted
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2Denison University-0.69+4.17vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.66-0.30vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.02-0.03vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.38-1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo0.40-2.82vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.34-3.65vs Predicted
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10Miami University-0.45-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Miami University1.200.3%1st Place
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6.17Denison University-0.690.0%1st Place
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3.7Michigan State University0.660.2%1st Place
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4.97Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.24Ohio State University0.380.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Toledo0.400.1%1st Place
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4.35Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.66Miami University-0.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Fisher | 30.1% | 24.2% | 17.5% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Tara Foster | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 39.7% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 16.5% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Evan Graves | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 12.3% |
| Gwendolyn Mulvey | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 5.4% |
| Thomas Irwin | 12.6% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% |
| David Aspery | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 6.9% |
| Peter Hilsch | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.