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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.66+2.66vs Predicted
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2Miami University-0.45+3.75vs Predicted
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3Miami University1.20-0.20vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-0.02+0.99vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.69+0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo0.40-2.84vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.38-3.71vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.34-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Michigan State University0.660.1%1st Place
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5.75Miami University-0.450.1%1st Place
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2.8Miami University1.200.3%1st Place
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4.99Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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6.18Denison University-0.690.0%1st Place
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4.16University of Toledo0.400.1%1st Place
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4.29Ohio State University0.380.1%1st Place
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4.17Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Dust | 14.9% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Peter Hilsch | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 26.4% |
| Stuart Fisher | 29.3% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Evan Graves | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 14.2% |
| Tara Foster | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 37.2% |
| Thomas Irwin | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 6.3% |
| Gwendolyn Mulvey | 12.4% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 6.0% |
| David Aspery | 13.0% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.