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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Miami University1.20+0.75vs Predicted
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3Ohio University-0.02+2.01vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.45+1.71vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.66-1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo0.40-1.79vs Predicted
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7Denison University-0.69-0.90vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.38-4.68vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University0.34-6.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Miami University1.200.3%1st Place
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5.01Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.71Miami University-0.450.1%1st Place
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3.72Michigan State University0.660.2%1st Place
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4.21University of Toledo0.400.1%1st Place
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6.1Denison University-0.690.0%1st Place
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4.32Ohio State University0.380.1%1st Place
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4.18Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Fisher | 28.8% | 25.9% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Evan Graves | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 12.2% |
| Peter Hilsch | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 21.4% | 26.5% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 16.6% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Irwin | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 4.9% |
| Tara Foster | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 37.6% |
| Gwendolyn Mulvey | 12.9% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.1% |
| David Aspery | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.