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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+2.95vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.03+3.88vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38-0.87vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.52-0.50vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.06-0.11vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17-1.04vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94-0.23vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.47-2.13vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.21-1.55vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.54-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95North Carolina State University1.2615.6%1st Place
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3.94University of South Florida1.0916.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Miami-0.034.1%1st Place
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3.13Jacksonville University-1.3824.9%1st Place
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4.55Florida State University0.7713.2%1st Place
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5.5University of South Florida0.528.9%1st Place
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6.89Rollins College-0.064.6%1st Place
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6.96Eckerd College-0.174.8%1st Place
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8.77Georgia Institute of Technology-0.942.4%1st Place
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7.87North Carolina State University-0.472.9%1st Place
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9.45University of Florida-1.211.6%1st Place
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10.11Embry-Riddle University-1.540.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 15.6% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.1% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Emily Allen | 24.9% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Heidi Hicks | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| KA Hamner | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 15.7% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 7.9% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 23.0% | 26.0% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 19.9% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.