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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+2.88vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+0.90vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77+0.52vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.06+1.95vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.47+1.87vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17+0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.03-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.52-3.60vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.54+0.04vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.21-1.41vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88North Carolina State University1.2616.5%1st Place
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3.15Jacksonville University-1.3825.3%1st Place
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3.9University of South Florida1.0916.6%1st Place
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4.52Florida State University0.7712.2%1st Place
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6.95Rollins College-0.065.0%1st Place
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7.87North Carolina State University-0.473.3%1st Place
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7.09Eckerd College-0.174.7%1st Place
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6.8University of Miami-0.034.0%1st Place
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5.4University of South Florida0.528.2%1st Place
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10.04Embry-Riddle University-1.541.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Florida-1.211.5%1st Place
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8.81Georgia Institute of Technology-0.941.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 16.5% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 25.3% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.6% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 7.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 40.5% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 23.6% | 27.3% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.