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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+2.91vs Predicted
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2University of Miami-0.03+4.90vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+0.94vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77+0.51vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+2.10vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-2.87vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.06-0.22vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.52-2.57vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.54+1.07vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.47-2.07vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94-2.17vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.21-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91North Carolina State University1.2617.3%1st Place
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6.9University of Miami-0.034.7%1st Place
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3.94University of South Florida1.0916.7%1st Place
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4.51Florida State University0.7712.2%1st Place
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7.1Eckerd College-0.173.9%1st Place
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3.13Jacksonville University-1.3825.7%1st Place
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6.78Rollins College-0.065.4%1st Place
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5.43University of South Florida0.528.0%1st Place
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10.07Embry-Riddle University-1.540.9%1st Place
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7.93North Carolina State University-0.472.8%1st Place
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8.83Georgia Institute of Technology-0.941.4%1st Place
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9.48University of Florida-1.211.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 17.3% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.7% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| Emily Allen | 25.7% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Heidi Hicks | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 19.2% | 41.2% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 7.3% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 19.6% | 15.8% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 21.5% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.