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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.52+3.55vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.03+3.97vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.26-0.07vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+2.10vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.06+0.81vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.47+0.94vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38-4.87vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.77-4.63vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94-1.27vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.21-1.55vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.54-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96University of South Florida1.0916.2%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida0.528.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Miami-0.034.5%1st Place
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3.93North Carolina State University1.2616.0%1st Place
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7.1Eckerd College-0.174.0%1st Place
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6.81Rollins College-0.064.8%1st Place
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7.94North Carolina State University-0.472.9%1st Place
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3.13Jacksonville University-1.3824.9%1st Place
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4.37Florida State University0.7714.1%1st Place
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8.73Georgia Institute of Technology-0.942.2%1st Place
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9.45University of Florida-1.211.4%1st Place
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10.06Embry-Riddle University-1.540.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.2% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 16.0% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| KA Hamner | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 7.1% |
| Emily Allen | 24.9% | 21.7% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 14.1% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 16.9% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 22.2% | 25.9% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 20.3% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.