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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+2.95vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.52+2.39vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.03+2.90vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.06+1.85vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.77-1.50vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.09-3.09vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17-1.14vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.47-1.09vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.54+0.18vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94-2.15vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.21-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95North Carolina State University1.2615.4%1st Place
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3.17Jacksonville University-1.3825.1%1st Place
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5.39University of South Florida0.528.8%1st Place
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6.9University of Miami-0.034.7%1st Place
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6.85Rollins College-0.064.5%1st Place
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4.5Florida State University0.7712.8%1st Place
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3.91University of South Florida1.0916.2%1st Place
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6.86Eckerd College-0.175.2%1st Place
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7.91North Carolina State University-0.473.1%1st Place
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10.18Embry-Riddle University-1.541.0%1st Place
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8.85Georgia Institute of Technology-0.941.8%1st Place
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9.54University of Florida-1.211.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 15.4% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 25.1% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| KA Hamner | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.2% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Martina Amunarriz | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 6.8% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 20.7% | 41.9% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 16.4% |
| Zuzanna Barska | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 22.5% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.