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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+2.01vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.36+3.06vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09-0.20vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.13+2.02vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.75+1.54vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.16-1.62vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.05-2.27vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.97-1.02vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-2.97vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-1.93-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of South Florida1.5424.1%1st Place
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5.06Jacksonville University0.369.6%1st Place
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2.8North Carolina State University1.0928.6%1st Place
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6.02Rollins College-0.135.6%1st Place
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5.92North Carolina State University-0.056.2%1st Place
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7.54University of Miami-0.753.1%1st Place
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5.38University of South Florida0.168.2%1st Place
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5.73Florida State University0.056.4%1st Place
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7.98University of Florida-0.972.4%1st Place
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7.03Georgia Institute of Technology-0.564.5%1st Place
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9.53Eckerd College-1.931.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 24.1% | 23.2% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Bilow | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 28.6% | 24.0% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Maddison Carew | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 10.7% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Niah Ford | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Maddie Washburn | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 22.7% | 16.3% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 7.7% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.