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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo1.34+4.64vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+2.07vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.98-0.94vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.97+0.35vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.49+0.53vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.11-2.33vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-0.57+3.17vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College0.96-1.11vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.09-0.03vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-2.03vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.88-4.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-1.45-1.28vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-0.88-3.21vs Predicted
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16Colgate University0.49-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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6.64University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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5.07Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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3.06Roger Williams University2.980.2%1st Place
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5.35Webb Institute1.970.1%1st Place
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6.53Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.67Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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11.17Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.89Ocean County College0.960.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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8.03Princeton University0.880.0%1st Place
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12.72U. S. Military Academy-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.79Penn State University-0.880.0%1st Place
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8.84Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 23.9% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 24.7% | 24.0% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Yland | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heid | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 19.2% | 25.7% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Kempton | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 21.6% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 21.6% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ladd | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 10.9% | 21.9% | 51.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Wall | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 27.5% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Beals | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.