Race 4A

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Max Katz-Christy 7.1% 9.3% 8.6% 9.7% 10.9% 12.0% 12.7% 12.0% 12.2% 5.5%
Robby Meek 27.4% 22.5% 17.0% 13.2% 8.6% 5.9% 3.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Ethan Danielson 9.0% 10.0% 8.3% 11.2% 12.1% 11.3% 11.9% 11.9% 9.7% 4.5%
Gus Macaulay 11.5% 11.4% 13.1% 11.7% 12.3% 12.7% 11.7% 7.6% 6.5% 1.7%
Cam Spriggs 14.2% 13.6% 15.1% 13.8% 11.9% 11.2% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 0.9%
Drew Mastovsky 8.0% 8.1% 10.7% 10.6% 11.4% 11.9% 11.7% 12.2% 10.2% 5.2%
Owen Grainger 6.6% 7.6% 7.6% 8.9% 10.2% 9.8% 11.5% 13.7% 15.4% 8.6%
Charlie Allen 9.7% 10.2% 10.3% 10.4% 11.8% 11.2% 12.6% 11.2% 9.3% 3.2%
Gavin Sanborn 5.3% 5.2% 7.0% 8.0% 7.8% 9.2% 10.8% 15.4% 18.0% 13.2%
Katherine Mason 1.1% 2.1% 2.3% 2.6% 3.0% 4.5% 5.3% 7.1% 14.6% 57.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.