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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+2.28vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+2.97vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.49+3.36vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.98-0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo1.34+1.89vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.97-0.68vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.11-2.30vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.96-0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.09+0.99vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.09-0.01vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-0.88+0.92vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-0.57-1.69vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.88-6.01vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-1.45-2.39vs Predicted
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16Colgate University0.49-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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4.97Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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6.36Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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3.09Roger Williams University2.980.3%1st Place
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6.89University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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5.32Webb Institute1.970.1%1st Place
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4.7Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.73Ocean County College0.960.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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11.92Penn State University-0.880.0%1st Place
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11.31Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.99Princeton University0.880.0%1st Place
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12.61U. S. Military Academy-1.450.0%1st Place
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8.84Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 23.6% | 20.8% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 8.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 25.6% | 21.2% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Yland | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Kempton | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 12.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 12.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Evan Wall | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 28.7% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heid | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 21.5% | 24.8% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ladd | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 12.0% | 20.6% | 50.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Beals | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.