Race 2B

saisa-women-top-18-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Eden Nykamp 26.4% 21.1% 18.4% 13.5% 8.6% 6.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Ella Bilow 8.9% 10.2% 11.8% 12.9% 12.7% 13.8% 11.5% 8.9% 5.3% 3.3% 0.9%
Julia Scott 5.8% 7.3% 8.6% 8.8% 11.2% 11.6% 12.7% 12.7% 10.3% 8.4% 2.6%
Maddison Carew 7.0% 7.1% 8.2% 10.8% 10.8% 12.0% 11.9% 12.3% 11.1% 6.6% 2.2%
Isabella du Plessis 26.0% 23.8% 18.1% 13.3% 8.6% 5.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniella Woodbridge 3.9% 4.0% 5.0% 5.2% 6.9% 8.0% 9.7% 12.9% 16.0% 18.6% 9.9%
Marina Dreyfuss 7.6% 8.8% 10.3% 13.0% 12.4% 9.6% 12.4% 10.5% 8.4% 5.3% 1.6%
Maddie Washburn 2.5% 3.1% 3.8% 3.9% 6.0% 6.5% 8.2% 11.9% 16.4% 21.2% 16.6%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 3.9% 5.5% 5.8% 7.1% 7.8% 10.2% 10.5% 13.2% 14.4% 14.8% 6.9%
Niah Ford 7.1% 8.2% 9.2% 9.6% 13.2% 13.4% 12.0% 10.5% 9.3% 6.0% 1.5%
Sophie Leduc 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 1.9% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 7.8% 15.4% 57.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.