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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49+2.80vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+1.01vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.56+2.98vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+0.86vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.49+1.32vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-0.57+5.32vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo1.34-0.62vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.88-0.24vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.11-4.26vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.09-0.12vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College0.96-3.29vs Predicted
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12Colgate University0.49-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.09-3.12vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-1.45-2.37vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.88-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
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3.01Cornell University2.850.3%1st Place
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5.98Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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4.86Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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6.32Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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11.32Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Buffalo1.340.1%1st Place
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7.76Princeton University0.880.0%1st Place
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4.74Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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7.71Ocean County College0.960.0%1st Place
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8.88Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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12.63U. S. Military Academy-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.72Penn State University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Godfrey | 18.1% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 28.1% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 10.3% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heid | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 12.2% | 22.0% | 23.7% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Kempton | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Beals | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ladd | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 21.5% | 50.7% | 0.0% |
| Evan Wall | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 29.1% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.