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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+3.87vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.56+3.90vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo1.34+3.57vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85-0.90vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.88+2.96vs Predicted
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6Colgate University0.49+2.93vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.49-0.99vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.96-0.42vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.11-4.25vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.09-0.10vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-0.57+0.29vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-2.10vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-1.45-0.34vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-0.88-3.26vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.49-12.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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5.9Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Buffalo1.340.1%1st Place
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3.1Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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7.96Princeton University0.880.0%1st Place
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8.93Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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6.01Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.58Ocean County College0.960.0%1st Place
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4.75Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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11.29Villanova University-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Military Academy-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.74Penn State University-0.880.0%1st Place
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3.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.490.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Geary | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 24.8% | 21.9% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Cobbs | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Beals | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Kempton | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 11.8% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Heid | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 23.6% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Victor Ladd | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 21.5% | 49.9% | 0.0% |
| Evan Wall | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 27.8% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
| William Godfrey | 19.9% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.