Race 2A

harry-anderson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Matthew Wefer 13.1% 10.2% 10.0% 10.4% 9.5% 7.7% 7.4% 6.9% 5.9% 5.3% 4.8% 3.1% 2.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Natalie Salk 6.1% 5.7% 8.1% 6.1% 6.7% 7.4% 6.7% 6.6% 6.6% 7.4% 6.3% 6.9% 6.6% 4.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7%
Fletcher Sims 10.3% 11.3% 10.8% 9.8% 7.8% 8.5% 7.7% 6.4% 6.6% 6.1% 4.1% 3.3% 3.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Michael Zonnenberg 7.8% 7.3% 7.4% 6.4% 6.4% 8.2% 7.0% 7.5% 6.5% 6.4% 7.7% 6.4% 4.6% 3.7% 3.4% 2.9% 0.4%
Max Lopez 5.5% 6.5% 6.3% 5.6% 6.5% 6.6% 7.2% 6.6% 6.0% 6.7% 6.3% 6.9% 7.1% 5.4% 4.4% 4.3% 2.1%
Marlena Fauer 7.9% 7.2% 8.0% 7.4% 9.5% 6.7% 7.3% 7.0% 7.4% 5.7% 6.7% 5.8% 4.9% 3.6% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5%
Colin Smith 10.1% 10.2% 8.6% 10.7% 9.1% 8.5% 8.7% 6.8% 6.9% 5.0% 4.8% 3.1% 2.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Gabriel Salk 4.3% 4.2% 4.7% 4.6% 5.4% 5.2% 3.5% 5.3% 5.2% 5.0% 6.0% 7.6% 7.4% 9.3% 7.6% 9.0% 5.7%
Sam Fitzgerald 3.1% 4.0% 4.6% 4.0% 5.0% 5.7% 6.5% 4.7% 6.0% 6.4% 6.9% 7.9% 7.0% 8.6% 8.1% 7.3% 4.2%
Peter Edmunds 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 3.9% 5.0% 4.7% 5.7% 6.5% 4.8% 7.4% 6.5% 5.7% 8.9% 7.9% 8.3% 9.0% 5.5%
Gram Slattery 4.8% 5.3% 4.7% 5.0% 4.8% 5.2% 5.7% 5.8% 6.0% 4.7% 6.4% 9.1% 5.8% 8.4% 9.1% 6.2% 3.0%
John Silvestri 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 2.8% 3.9% 4.2% 5.6% 3.5% 4.6% 5.8% 7.2% 8.9% 8.7% 17.5% 14.7%
John McGlynn 3.3% 3.3% 2.8% 3.1% 3.0% 2.9% 3.0% 5.4% 6.1% 6.8% 5.4% 6.4% 8.0% 8.2% 12.6% 9.5% 10.2%
Ian Towill 3.4% 4.8% 3.6% 5.4% 4.6% 5.4% 4.8% 4.9% 4.7% 6.3% 7.8% 6.9% 8.4% 7.4% 10.5% 7.3% 3.8%
Andrew Sommer 10.4% 10.9% 9.1% 7.5% 6.9% 8.0% 7.7% 6.7% 6.8% 7.3% 6.0% 3.6% 3.1% 2.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Tyler Steel 4.0% 2.6% 4.2% 5.9% 5.1% 5.0% 5.6% 6.4% 6.3% 7.5% 6.7% 6.9% 7.6% 8.0% 6.7% 7.1% 4.4%
Thomas Presti 0.9% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 2.3% 2.6% 2.5% 3.0% 4.6% 4.3% 6.4% 7.4% 13.8% 44.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.