← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Maddison Carew 6.5% 8.0% 8.5% 10.6% 11.5% 11.8% 10.9% 11.2% 11.1% 7.3% 2.8%
Isabella du Plessis 27.9% 22.9% 17.9% 13.8% 7.8% 5.4% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Eden Nykamp 26.1% 21.3% 19.4% 12.6% 9.6% 6.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Ella Bilow 8.8% 10.7% 12.2% 12.9% 12.5% 12.5% 10.9% 8.9% 5.9% 4.0% 0.8%
Niah Ford 7.2% 7.6% 9.2% 10.0% 13.0% 11.8% 11.9% 11.5% 9.7% 6.0% 2.1%
Daniella Woodbridge 3.4% 3.9% 4.9% 5.5% 7.0% 8.3% 10.5% 11.5% 15.3% 18.6% 11.2%
Maddie Washburn 2.9% 3.6% 3.9% 4.7% 5.2% 7.9% 8.6% 11.5% 15.1% 21.6% 15.1%
Marina Dreyfuss 7.6% 8.8% 9.2% 12.2% 12.4% 11.1% 13.8% 10.2% 8.5% 5.0% 1.2%
Julia Scott 5.3% 6.8% 8.4% 10.4% 10.3% 12.2% 12.3% 13.5% 10.4% 7.5% 2.9%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 3.5% 5.3% 4.9% 5.8% 8.3% 9.8% 11.0% 13.0% 15.7% 15.6% 7.1%
Sophie Leduc 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 3.4% 4.6% 6.0% 7.5% 14.3% 56.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.