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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+1.86vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.05+3.79vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+0.06vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.36+0.97vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56+2.02vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.16-0.50vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.05-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.75-0.52vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.13-2.91vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-1.93-0.41vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-0.97-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86North Carolina State University1.0927.6%1st Place
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5.79North Carolina State University-0.056.7%1st Place
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3.06University of South Florida1.5424.1%1st Place
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4.97Jacksonville University0.369.7%1st Place
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7.02Georgia Institute of Technology-0.564.5%1st Place
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5.5University of South Florida0.167.8%1st Place
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5.71Florida State University0.057.4%1st Place
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7.48University of Miami-0.753.0%1st Place
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6.09Rollins College-0.135.9%1st Place
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9.59Eckerd College-1.930.8%1st Place
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7.93University of Florida-0.972.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 27.6% | 23.0% | 18.7% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 24.1% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Bilow | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 7.5% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Niah Ford | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 10.9% |
| Julia Scott | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Sophie Leduc | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 57.4% |
| Maddie Washburn | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 22.8% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.