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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+2.14vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.36+3.27vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.16+2.75vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.05+2.11vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.05+1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.41-0.88vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.09-4.00vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.13-1.69vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-1.57vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-1.93-0.27vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-0.97-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of South Florida1.5424.4%1st Place
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5.27Jacksonville University0.369.4%1st Place
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5.75University of South Florida0.166.6%1st Place
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6.11North Carolina State University-0.056.1%1st Place
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6.02Florida State University0.055.6%1st Place
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5.12University of Miami0.418.6%1st Place
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3.0North Carolina State University1.0925.7%1st Place
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6.31Rollins College-0.135.9%1st Place
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7.43Georgia Institute of Technology-0.563.5%1st Place
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9.73Eckerd College-1.931.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Florida-0.973.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 24.4% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ella Bilow | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Maddison Carew | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Niah Ford | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Briana Hummel | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 25.7% | 22.7% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 9.2% |
| Sophie Leduc | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 59.3% |
| Maddie Washburn | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 23.2% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.