Race 5A

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Robby Meek 27.6% 24.4% 16.8% 12.4% 9.1% 5.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Drew Mastovsky 7.5% 8.8% 9.6% 11.7% 12.4% 11.8% 11.6% 12.6% 9.5% 4.6%
Owen Grainger 6.2% 6.4% 8.4% 9.0% 8.1% 10.1% 12.3% 14.2% 16.8% 8.5%
Gus Macaulay 12.9% 11.3% 12.6% 10.7% 12.9% 11.9% 11.2% 9.0% 5.6% 1.8%
Ethan Danielson 8.8% 7.3% 9.7% 10.8% 13.0% 12.0% 12.2% 10.8% 11.7% 3.7%
Gavin Sanborn 4.5% 4.9% 6.8% 8.5% 8.2% 9.2% 12.0% 13.4% 20.6% 11.9%
Charlie Allen 9.7% 10.0% 11.8% 11.1% 11.5% 11.4% 11.6% 11.5% 8.7% 2.9%
Max Katz-Christy 7.3% 9.3% 8.6% 10.2% 9.8% 13.4% 11.9% 12.6% 10.5% 6.3%
Katherine Mason 1.8% 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 3.2% 4.1% 5.0% 8.2% 12.7% 59.2%
Cam Spriggs 13.7% 15.8% 13.9% 13.3% 11.9% 11.0% 9.4% 6.6% 3.3% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.