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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.37+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.24+3.13vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.02+1.67vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73-0.73vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.06-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.18+0.80vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.41-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-0.69vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-1.96-0.58vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-2.11-1.33vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55College of Charleston2.3763.0%1st Place
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5.13University of North Carolina-0.244.1%1st Place
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4.67Clemson University0.025.7%1st Place
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3.27Clemson University0.7313.0%1st Place
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4.34Duke University0.066.7%1st Place
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6.8University of Georgia-1.182.0%1st Place
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5.82The Citadel-0.412.6%1st Place
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7.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Tennessee-1.960.8%1st Place
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8.67North Carolina State University-2.110.9%1st Place
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10.01College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 63.0% | 24.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Antonio Priskich | 5.7% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.0% | 24.2% | 23.9% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.7% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Weese | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Henry Parker | 2.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 4.1% |
| Matthew Blessington | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 25.4% | 13.9% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 28.3% | 18.1% |
| James Nave | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.