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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.37+0.56vs Predicted
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2The Citadel-0.41+3.74vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+1.36vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73-0.76vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.02-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.24-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.18-0.19vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-2.11+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.61vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-1.96-1.52vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56College of Charleston2.3761.8%1st Place
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5.74The Citadel-0.413.5%1st Place
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4.36Duke University0.066.7%1st Place
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3.24Clemson University0.7313.6%1st Place
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4.66Clemson University0.025.2%1st Place
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5.18University of North Carolina-0.244.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Georgia-1.182.2%1st Place
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8.68North Carolina State University-2.110.6%1st Place
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7.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.3%1st Place
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8.48University of Tennessee-1.960.9%1st Place
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9.89College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 61.8% | 25.1% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 3.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.7% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.6% | 24.9% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 5.2% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.0% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Weese | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 17.7% | 28.9% | 18.6% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 4.3% |
| Matthew Blessington | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 25.4% | 15.2% |
| James Nave | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 17.5% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.