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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.12vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+3.71vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.10+5.85vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.37+3.89vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+2.49vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+1.55vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.69-0.32vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.55-1.01vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.52-1.56vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.84-0.31vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.63-0.33vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-3.80vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-2.98vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.49+0.12vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.29-3.28vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.76-0.44vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.00-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.71Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.99Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.44Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.69Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.67SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.0%1st Place
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14.12Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.72Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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15.56University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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9.29Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 16.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jason Michas | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| William Hutchings | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 2.7% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Ford | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| Molly Haley | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 28.8% | 25.8% |
| Christopher Jensen | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 6.6% |
| William Kresic | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 58.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.