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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.37+0.58vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.06+2.30vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.41+2.70vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.02+0.64vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-1.72vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.24-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.18-1.14vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-2.11-0.35vs Predicted
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10College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-0.04vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-1.96-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58College of Charleston2.3760.5%1st Place
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4.3Duke University0.068.2%1st Place
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5.7The Citadel-0.413.8%1st Place
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4.64Clemson University0.026.3%1st Place
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3.28Clemson University0.7311.9%1st Place
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5.23University of North Carolina-0.244.1%1st Place
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7.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.7%1st Place
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6.86University of Georgia-1.181.8%1st Place
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8.65North Carolina State University-2.110.7%1st Place
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9.96College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.5%1st Place
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8.5University of Tennessee-1.960.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 60.5% | 26.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 8.2% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Antonio Priskich | 6.3% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 11.9% | 24.1% | 24.3% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.1% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 14.5% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 29.0% | 17.8% |
| James Nave | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 16.1% | 61.1% |
| Matthew Blessington | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 21.3% | 26.4% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.