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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.37+0.52vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+1.08vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.02+1.33vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.41+1.35vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.06-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+1.00vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.18-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-1.96+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-1.75-1.36vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-2.11-1.51vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52College of Charleston2.3763.0%1st Place
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3.08Clemson University0.7312.7%1st Place
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4.33Clemson University0.026.8%1st Place
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5.35The Citadel-0.413.9%1st Place
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4.19Duke University0.067.0%1st Place
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7.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.2%1st Place
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6.32University of Georgia-1.182.5%1st Place
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8.22University of Tennessee-1.960.9%1st Place
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7.64University of North Carolina-1.751.1%1st Place
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8.49North Carolina State University-2.110.4%1st Place
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9.86College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 63.0% | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.7% | 28.3% | 25.0% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 6.8% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 3.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.0% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Weese | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Blessington | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 22.9% | 12.6% |
| Runyon Tyler | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 7.8% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 23.9% | 17.1% |
| James Nave | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.