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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.73+2.11vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.37-0.50vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+3.98vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.06+0.13vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.41+0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.18+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-1.75+0.74vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.02-3.62vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-1.96-0.92vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-2.11-1.62vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Clemson University0.7312.3%1st Place
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1.5College of Charleston2.3765.0%1st Place
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6.98University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.4%1st Place
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4.13Duke University0.066.5%1st Place
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5.28The Citadel-0.413.5%1st Place
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6.48University of Georgia-1.181.5%1st Place
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7.74University of North Carolina-1.750.9%1st Place
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4.38Clemson University0.026.8%1st Place
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8.08University of Tennessee-1.961.0%1st Place
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8.38North Carolina State University-2.110.8%1st Place
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9.93College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 12.3% | 27.0% | 26.1% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Garcia | 65.0% | 24.1% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.5% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 3.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 18.4% | 7.8% |
| Antonio Priskich | 6.8% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Blessington | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 21.8% | 11.2% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 24.1% | 17.1% |
| James Nave | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.