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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.37+0.51vs Predicted
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2University of Georgia-1.18+4.28vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+1.20vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73-0.91vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.41+0.48vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.02-1.68vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36+0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-1.96+0.09vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-1.75-1.30vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-2.11-1.58vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51College of Charleston2.3763.8%1st Place
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6.28University of Georgia-1.181.9%1st Place
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4.2Duke University0.066.6%1st Place
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3.09Clemson University0.7313.6%1st Place
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5.48The Citadel-0.412.8%1st Place
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4.32Clemson University0.027.8%1st Place
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7.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.5%1st Place
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8.09University of Tennessee-1.960.4%1st Place
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7.7University of North Carolina-1.750.9%1st Place
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8.42North Carolina State University-2.110.5%1st Place
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9.9College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 63.8% | 25.1% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.6% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.6% | 27.0% | 24.3% | 17.5% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 2.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Antonio Priskich | 7.8% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Blessington | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 12.7% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 8.2% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 25.4% | 16.0% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.