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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.37+0.57vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+1.25vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.41+2.73vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.06+0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Tennessee-1.96+3.36vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.24-0.95vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-2.11+1.75vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.18-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.59vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.02-5.29vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57College of Charleston2.3761.0%1st Place
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3.25Clemson University0.7313.9%1st Place
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5.73The Citadel-0.413.7%1st Place
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4.39Duke University0.066.9%1st Place
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8.36University of Tennessee-1.960.8%1st Place
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5.05University of North Carolina-0.244.7%1st Place
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8.75North Carolina State University-2.110.6%1st Place
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6.79University of Georgia-1.181.6%1st Place
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7.41University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.5%1st Place
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4.71Clemson University0.025.3%1st Place
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10.0College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 61.0% | 26.2% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.9% | 24.2% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 3.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.9% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Blessington | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 20.4% | 25.2% | 14.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.7% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Morgan | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 28.8% | 18.3% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 8.3% | 1.7% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 4.3% |
| Antonio Priskich | 5.3% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| James Nave | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.