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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.62vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.23+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.22+1.02vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.04+0.34vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.77+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+2.03vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19-2.83vs Predicted
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8Duke University-1.09-1.39vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-2.54+0.07vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-2.36-1.23vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-2.65-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62College of Charleston2.0758.4%1st Place
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4.38Clemson University0.237.6%1st Place
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4.02University of North Carolina0.228.3%1st Place
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4.34North Carolina State University0.048.2%1st Place
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5.69Clemson University-0.774.2%1st Place
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8.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.921.1%1st Place
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4.17The Citadel0.198.0%1st Place
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6.61Duke University-1.092.5%1st Place
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9.07College of Coastal Georgia-2.540.7%1st Place
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8.77University of Georgia-2.360.6%1st Place
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9.29University of Tennessee-2.650.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 58.4% | 26.7% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 7.6% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 8.3% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caz Doyle | 8.2% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Joey Dunn | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 17.9% | 10.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.0% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Hinchey | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Lauren Cooper | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 23.5% | 30.9% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 24.1% | 22.4% |
| Patrick Winecoff | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 25.2% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.