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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.18+6.89vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.44+2.30vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+0.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.52+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.17+0.25vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.51+1.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-1.56vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.52+0.91vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.56-3.11vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.76+0.85vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut0.51+0.62vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-0.57vs Predicted
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15Amherst College1.69-5.68vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.93-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Roger Williams University2.180.0%1st Place
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4.3Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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3.68Roger Williams University3.730.2%1st Place
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4.24Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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5.25University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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6.89Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.85University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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12.62University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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12.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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9.32Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.39McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell Duffy | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 14.7% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 20.2% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 16.7% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Rice | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 20.2% |
| Brooke Doyon | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 29.9% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 21.0% | 27.3% |
| Johannes Raatz | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Laura Cartmel | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.