Race 6A

87th-boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charlie Allen 9.0% 10.0% 9.8% 13.2% 12.4% 10.7% 11.8% 11.2% 8.6% 3.2%
Gus Macaulay 11.6% 12.0% 13.4% 11.9% 12.0% 12.7% 11.2% 7.5% 5.9% 1.7%
Max Katz-Christy 6.6% 8.0% 8.9% 9.6% 11.1% 11.9% 12.3% 13.9% 12.7% 5.1%
Cam Spriggs 14.7% 15.8% 14.1% 13.1% 13.1% 11.2% 8.5% 5.5% 3.4% 0.6%
Drew Mastovsky 7.6% 9.0% 9.0% 10.7% 11.9% 11.8% 11.2% 13.1% 11.2% 4.5%
Robby Meek 29.5% 21.1% 17.6% 12.2% 9.2% 5.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Owen Grainger 5.4% 7.8% 7.3% 9.0% 8.8% 10.4% 12.5% 13.8% 15.2% 9.7%
Ethan Danielson 9.0% 9.0% 10.6% 11.2% 10.2% 11.3% 12.5% 11.9% 10.3% 3.8%
Katherine Mason 1.4% 1.8% 2.3% 2.5% 3.1% 4.3% 5.4% 7.0% 13.0% 59.2%
Gavin Sanborn 5.0% 5.4% 7.0% 6.6% 8.1% 10.1% 11.7% 14.6% 19.5% 12.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.