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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.67vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.23+2.35vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.04+1.37vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.19+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.22-0.90vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.77-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+1.09vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-2.36+0.79vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.65+0.25vs Predicted
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10Duke University-1.09-3.46vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-2.54-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67College of Charleston2.0757.4%1st Place
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4.35Clemson University0.237.0%1st Place
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4.37North Carolina State University0.047.8%1st Place
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4.11The Citadel0.198.9%1st Place
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4.1University of North Carolina0.228.9%1st Place
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5.63Clemson University-0.774.4%1st Place
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8.09University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.9%1st Place
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8.79University of Georgia-2.360.9%1st Place
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9.25University of Tennessee-2.650.5%1st Place
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6.54Duke University-1.092.8%1st Place
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9.09College of Coastal Georgia-2.540.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 57.4% | 26.0% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 7.0% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caz Doyle | 7.8% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.9% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 8.9% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Trevin Brown | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 18.6% | 11.0% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 24.6% | 23.5% |
| Patrick Winecoff | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 23.4% | 34.4% |
| John Hinchey | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Cooper | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 24.1% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.