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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+3.20vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+4.85vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+0.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.18+3.98vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.17-0.89vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.56-0.25vs Predicted
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8Amherst College1.69+1.43vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.76+2.92vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.52-0.07vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.44-6.46vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut0.51+0.56vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-6.02vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.93-2.55vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.69Roger Williams University3.730.2%1st Place
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7.98Roger Williams University2.180.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.11University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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6.75Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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9.43Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.92University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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4.54Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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12.56University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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6.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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11.45McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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12.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 17.5% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Rice | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 20.0% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell Duffy | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Johannes Raatz | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 18.9% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Colin MURPHY | 14.7% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Doyon | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 30.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Laura Cartmel | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 14.2% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 20.4% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.