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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.18+6.95vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.17+2.09vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.56+2.84vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51+2.05vs Predicted
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6Amherst College1.69+3.45vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.72-0.62vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44-3.51vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.52-4.80vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.17vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.52-1.17vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55+0.52vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.93-1.44vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.51-1.63vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.76-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Roger Williams University2.180.0%1st Place
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3.67Roger Williams University3.730.2%1st Place
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5.09University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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6.84Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.45Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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4.49Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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4.2Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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12.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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11.56McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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11.75University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell Duffy | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 21.2% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 10.5% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cole Rice | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Johannes Raatz | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Colin MURPHY | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 28.0% |
| Laura Cartmel | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 16.0% |
| Brooke Doyon | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 21.0% | 27.5% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.