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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.66vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.19+2.09vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23+1.41vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.22+0.06vs Predicted
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5Duke University-1.09+1.54vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.77-0.37vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.04-2.58vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+0.05vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-2.36-0.19vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.65-0.76vs Predicted
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11College of Coastal Georgia-2.54-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66College of Charleston2.0756.5%1st Place
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4.09The Citadel0.199.2%1st Place
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4.41Clemson University0.237.5%1st Place
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4.06University of North Carolina0.229.7%1st Place
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6.54Duke University-1.092.5%1st Place
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5.63Clemson University-0.774.0%1st Place
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4.42North Carolina State University0.047.0%1st Place
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8.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.921.5%1st Place
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8.81University of Georgia-2.360.5%1st Place
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9.24University of Tennessee-2.650.4%1st Place
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9.08College of Coastal Georgia-2.540.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 56.5% | 27.6% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.2% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 7.5% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 9.7% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Hinchey | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Trevin Brown | 4.0% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Caz Doyle | 7.0% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 11.7% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 23.2% | 23.4% |
| Patrick Winecoff | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 23.4% | 33.6% |
| Lauren Cooper | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 25.1% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.