← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University0.23+3.36vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina0.22+2.01vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.07-1.32vs Predicted
-
4The Citadel0.19+0.11vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University0.04-0.59vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+2.04vs Predicted
-
7Duke University-1.09-0.46vs Predicted
-
8University of Georgia-2.36+0.75vs Predicted
-
9University of Tennessee-2.65+0.22vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University-0.77-4.31vs Predicted
-
11College of Coastal Georgia-2.54-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.36Clemson University0.238.5%1st Place
-
4.01University of North Carolina0.229.3%1st Place
-
1.68College of Charleston2.0756.8%1st Place
-
4.11The Citadel0.198.9%1st Place
-
4.41North Carolina State University0.046.8%1st Place
-
8.04University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.921.3%1st Place
-
6.54Duke University-1.092.5%1st Place
-
8.75University of Georgia-2.361.0%1st Place
-
9.22University of Tennessee-2.650.4%1st Place
-
5.69Clemson University-0.774.1%1st Place
-
9.18College of Coastal Georgia-2.540.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Barnes | 8.5% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 9.3% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 56.8% | 26.2% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.9% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caz Doyle | 6.8% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joey Dunn | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 11.4% |
| John Hinchey | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Garrett Holt | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 23.0% | 23.3% |
| Patrick Winecoff | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 18.3% | 23.4% | 32.4% |
| Trevin Brown | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Cooper | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 26.0% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.