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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.73+2.71vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+4.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52+1.19vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.18+4.00vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.52+4.89vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.17-0.87vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.51-0.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.26vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.56-2.18vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.93+1.54vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55+1.32vs Predicted
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12Amherst College1.69-2.37vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.44-8.39vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut0.51-1.63vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.76-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Roger Williams University3.730.2%1st Place
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6.26University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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4.19Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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5.13University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.82Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.54McGill University0.930.0%1st Place
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12.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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9.63Amherst College1.690.0%1st Place
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4.61Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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12.37University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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11.81University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Corgard | 20.6% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Willem Sandberg | 17.2% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell Duffy | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Connor Brady | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Rice | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Laura Cartmel | 1.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 16.6% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 20.2% | 27.6% |
| Johannes Raatz | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Colin MURPHY | 13.7% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Doyon | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 20.6% | 28.4% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.