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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.23+3.54vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.07-0.29vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+1.23vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.77+1.73vs Predicted
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5Duke University-1.09+1.64vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.22-1.81vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+0.99vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.47-4.25vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-2.54+0.11vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-2.36-1.22vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-2.65-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Clemson University0.237.4%1st Place
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1.71College of Charleston2.0756.7%1st Place
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4.23The Citadel0.198.0%1st Place
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5.73Clemson University-0.774.0%1st Place
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6.64Duke University-1.092.4%1st Place
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4.19University of North Carolina0.228.0%1st Place
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7.99University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.921.1%1st Place
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3.75North Carolina State University0.4710.7%1st Place
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9.11College of Coastal Georgia-2.540.7%1st Place
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8.78University of Georgia-2.360.8%1st Place
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9.33University of Tennessee-2.650.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Barnes | 7.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 56.7% | 24.8% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.0% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| John Hinchey | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Noah Jost | 8.0% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joey Dunn | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 10.9% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 10.7% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cooper | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 24.9% | 30.2% |
| Garrett Holt | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 20.7% | 23.1% | 21.9% |
| Patrick Winecoff | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 24.1% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.