Race 5A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Willem Sandberg 29.0% 20.9% 16.0% 13.8% 8.2% 6.3% 3.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.2%
Connor Brady 18.0% 18.0% 15.0% 15.2% 13.5% 8.8% 6.5% 3.3% 1.7% 0.0%
Campbell Duffy 6.4% 7.2% 8.9% 7.5% 11.6% 12.5% 17.0% 17.0% 9.0% 2.9%
Cole Rice 8.4% 10.4% 13.6% 12.6% 12.2% 15.2% 11.1% 11.3% 4.2% 1.0%
Timothy Harding 10.7% 10.5% 12.3% 12.7% 12.9% 15.2% 12.0% 7.7% 5.0% 1.0%
Jana Gailiunas 4.4% 4.2% 4.3% 7.0% 6.9% 7.5% 13.4% 19.8% 22.4% 10.1%
Samuel Cushing 10.3% 13.2% 13.6% 13.8% 15.7% 12.4% 10.5% 7.0% 2.8% 0.7%
Bradley Brown 9.7% 12.7% 12.4% 11.0% 14.2% 13.2% 13.0% 8.3% 4.5% 1.0%
Brooke Doyon 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 2.8% 1.9% 4.3% 5.7% 9.5% 24.9% 46.5%
Paige Fagan 1.7% 1.5% 2.3% 3.6% 2.9% 4.6% 7.4% 14.2% 25.2% 36.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.