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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+6.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.20+6.38vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.88vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+2.08vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40+2.06vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+1.40vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45+0.11vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+5.14vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71+1.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.88vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.88+2.15vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.05-6.77vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.67-3.12vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-5.92vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.72-1.79vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.39-5.29vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.92-11.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Brown University2.858.6%1st Place
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8.38Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.9%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.1%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College2.909.0%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University2.406.2%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College2.386.9%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University2.457.0%1st Place
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14.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
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11.27Northeastern University1.712.5%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.0%1st Place
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14.15Connecticut College0.881.2%1st Place
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6.23Harvard University3.0511.6%1st Place
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10.88Tufts University1.672.9%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island2.786.1%1st Place
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14.21University of Vermont0.721.2%1st Place
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11.71Boston University1.392.1%1st Place
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6.89Yale University2.929.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 24.3% |
| Will Priebe | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 26.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 26.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.