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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.17+2.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+1.10vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+1.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72-0.72vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.18-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.52-0.29vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.56-3.33vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.66-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of South Florida3.170.2%1st Place
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3.1Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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4.86Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.42Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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4.67Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brady | 20.3% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Willem Sandberg | 23.0% | 23.8% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Cole Rice | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Bradley Brown | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 12.4% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Campbell Duffy | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 6.3% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 29.3% | 20.7% |
| Timothy Harding | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 2.8% |
| James Fales | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 15.9% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.