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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+5.64vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.20+6.42vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.01vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+4.36vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+2.07vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+2.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.14vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40+0.01vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05-2.66vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.78-0.85vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39+0.91vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-0.52vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.18vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.90-6.88vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.95vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.67-5.12vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.88-2.68vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.72-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Yale University2.929.9%1st Place
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8.42Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.4%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College2.387.0%1st Place
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7.07Brown University2.858.4%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University2.457.0%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.5%1st Place
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8.01Roger Williams University2.406.6%1st Place
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6.34Harvard University3.0510.8%1st Place
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9.15University of Rhode Island2.784.8%1st Place
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11.91Boston University1.391.9%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University1.712.4%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.3%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
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14.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.7%1st Place
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10.88Tufts University1.674.2%1st Place
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14.32Connecticut College0.881.2%1st Place
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14.14University of Vermont0.720.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% |
| Will Priebe | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 23.9% |
| John Eastman | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 26.3% |
| Ryan Potter | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.