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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+1.95vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+3.00vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.17+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+0.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.50vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.56-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.52-0.28vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.18-2.57vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.66-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Tufts University3.520.3%1st Place
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5.0Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.57University of South Florida3.170.2%1st Place
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4.26University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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4.63Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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5.43Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 27.6% | 20.8% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Rice | 6.9% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 3.2% |
| Connor Brady | 18.7% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Cushing | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 10.7% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 29.0% | 20.9% |
| Campbell Duffy | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 7.4% |
| James Fales | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 17.1% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.