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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.17+2.57vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.56+2.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52-0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.52+1.52vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.18-0.53vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.51-2.19vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.66-0.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of South Florida3.170.2%1st Place
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4.88Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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2.91Tufts University3.520.3%1st Place
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4.3University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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5.47Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.81Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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4.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brady | 19.4% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Harding | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 3.8% |
| Willem Sandberg | 28.4% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 12.0% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 26.1% | 21.2% |
| Campbell Duffy | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 6.7% |
| Cole Rice | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 2.3% |
| James Fales | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 60.4% |
| Bradley Brown | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.