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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+6.21vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+5.08vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.20+5.28vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.15vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+3.20vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+0.28vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-0.01vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38+0.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.17vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40-2.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.98vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.67-0.98vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.78-3.62vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-2.54vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-3.15vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.88-1.60vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.05-3.48vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Brown University2.858.3%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College2.908.6%1st Place
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8.28Boston College2.207.2%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.6%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University2.456.2%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University3.0510.2%1st Place
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6.99Yale University2.928.8%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College2.386.9%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.3%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University2.406.9%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.0%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University1.673.2%1st Place
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9.38University of Rhode Island2.785.2%1st Place
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11.46Northeastern University1.712.8%1st Place
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11.85Boston University1.392.7%1st Place
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14.4Connecticut College0.881.5%1st Place
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13.52University of Vermont1.051.2%1st Place
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13.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| John Eastman | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 6.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 30.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 18.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.