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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.17+2.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+2.79vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+1.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.52-1.12vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72-0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.52+0.64vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.18-1.50vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.56-3.35vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.66-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of South Florida3.170.2%1st Place
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4.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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4.81Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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2.88Tufts University3.520.3%1st Place
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4.3University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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5.5Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.65Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brady | 19.9% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 3.3% |
| Cole Rice | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 3.1% |
| Willem Sandberg | 26.7% | 24.6% | 17.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Cushing | 12.5% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 27.2% | 21.0% |
| Campbell Duffy | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 7.2% |
| Timothy Harding | 11.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
| James Fales | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 16.5% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.