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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+6.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+4.26vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.45+5.23vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.78vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+3.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.89vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71+4.54vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40-0.01vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38-0.69vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+4.16vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.90-3.96vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.61vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.67-2.00vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.78-4.91vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.05-1.37vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-7.15vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.88-2.67vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.39-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Brown University2.858.6%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University3.0510.8%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University2.457.3%1st Place
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6.78Yale University2.928.9%1st Place
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8.37Boston College2.207.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.6%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University1.712.7%1st Place
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7.99Roger Williams University2.406.0%1st Place
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8.31Bowdoin College2.386.1%1st Place
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14.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College2.908.3%1st Place
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8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.5%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University1.673.5%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island2.785.1%1st Place
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13.63University of Vermont1.051.7%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.3%1st Place
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14.33Connecticut College0.881.4%1st Place
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11.79Boston University1.392.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Will Priebe | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 25.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| John Eastman | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 18.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 29.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.