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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.17+2.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+1.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.18+1.35vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51-0.32vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.56-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.52-0.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.37vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.66-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of South Florida3.170.2%1st Place
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3.11Tufts University3.520.2%1st Place
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4.42University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.35Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.68Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.66Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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4.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brady | 19.7% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 23.1% | 23.3% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Cushing | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Campbell Duffy | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 5.9% |
| Cole Rice | 10.1% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Timothy Harding | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 2.3% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 27.9% | 20.8% |
| Bradley Brown | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 2.6% |
| James Fales | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 16.1% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.