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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+7.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.85vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+5.41vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+2.24vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.71+6.55vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45+2.21vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+1.96vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.85-0.80vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.20-0.36vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-3.07vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.40-2.97vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.72+2.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.80vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.90-7.06vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.67-4.05vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.83vs Predicted
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17University of Texas1.01-3.52vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.39-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.5%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.7%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College2.386.0%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University3.0511.7%1st Place
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11.55Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University2.457.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island2.785.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University2.857.8%1st Place
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8.64Boston College2.205.8%1st Place
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6.93Yale University2.928.4%1st Place
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8.03Roger Williams University2.407.3%1st Place
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14.16University of Vermont0.721.5%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.5%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
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10.95Tufts University1.673.2%1st Place
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14.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.7%1st Place
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13.48University of Texas1.011.9%1st Place
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12.05Boston University1.392.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 28.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| John Eastman | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 19.4% | 24.1% |
| Matias Martin | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 20.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.