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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+7.50vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+5.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.93vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+2.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.76vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+2.94vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.67+3.80vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.71+3.42vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.90-1.96vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-2.82vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.01vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39+0.04vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.77vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.40-5.67vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.38-6.74vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.45-7.78vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.72-2.74vs Predicted
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18University of Texas1.01-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5Boston College2.206.0%1st Place
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7.1Yale University2.929.0%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.8%1st Place
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6.34Harvard University3.0510.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.9%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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10.8Tufts University1.673.8%1st Place
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11.42Northeastern University1.713.1%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College2.908.7%1st Place
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7.18Brown University2.858.1%1st Place
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14.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.9%1st Place
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12.04Boston University1.392.2%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.3%1st Place
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8.33Roger Williams University2.406.6%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College2.386.1%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University2.456.5%1st Place
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14.26University of Vermont0.721.4%1st Place
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13.63University of Texas1.011.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| John Eastman | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 24.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 28.3% |
| Matias Martin | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.