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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+1.86vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+3.67vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.84+2.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.59+0.73vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.30+0.25vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.74-1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.56-0.52vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.18-2.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-0.40vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.82-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Harvard University2.4528.3%1st Place
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5.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.258.1%1st Place
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5.49Roger Williams University1.848.1%1st Place
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4.73Tufts University1.5911.6%1st Place
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5.25College of Charleston1.309.3%1st Place
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4.2Brown University1.7414.2%1st Place
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6.48University of Vermont0.565.5%1st Place
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5.51Bowdoin College1.187.4%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.5%1st Place
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6.21University of Rhode Island0.825.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robby Meek | 28.3% | 23.9% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Max Katz-Christy | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 5.8% |
Drew Mastovsky | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
Gus Macaulay | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
Charlie Allen | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
Cam Spriggs | 14.2% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
Gavin Sanborn | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 12.7% |
Ethan Danielson | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 4.1% |
Katherine Mason | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 57.1% |
Owen Grainger | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.