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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.20+7.60vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+5.08vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+4.05vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.30vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.13vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+5.85vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+1.44vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40+0.05vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78+0.31vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-3.73vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.24vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.92-4.98vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-1.58vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.45-5.63vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.67-4.18vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.88-1.91vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.05-3.61vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Boston College2.206.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University2.859.0%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College2.909.0%1st Place
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8.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.0%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.9%1st Place
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11.85Boston University1.392.4%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College2.386.0%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University2.407.3%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island2.784.5%1st Place
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6.27Harvard University3.0511.5%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.8%1st Place
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7.02Yale University2.929.2%1st Place
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11.42Northeastern University1.713.7%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University2.456.1%1st Place
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10.82Tufts University1.673.6%1st Place
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14.09Connecticut College0.881.6%1st Place
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13.39University of Vermont1.051.9%1st Place
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14.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| John Eastman | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 27.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 20.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.