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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+6.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.90vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+3.11vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.45+4.07vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+3.35vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.20+2.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.18vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.39+3.68vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.67+1.83vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.78-0.70vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.81vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.22vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.07vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.40-6.07vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.71-3.62vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.90-8.96vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.72-2.84vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.88-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Brown University2.8510.4%1st Place
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6.9Yale University2.929.4%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University3.0510.9%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University2.456.8%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.386.5%1st Place
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8.42Boston College2.206.3%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.9%1st Place
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11.68Boston University1.392.9%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University1.672.9%1st Place
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9.3University of Rhode Island2.784.8%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.0%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.8%1st Place
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14.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.2%1st Place
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7.93Roger Williams University2.406.0%1st Place
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11.38Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College2.908.3%1st Place
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14.16University of Vermont0.721.4%1st Place
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14.41Connecticut College0.881.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% |
| John Eastman | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 23.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 25.8% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.