Race 5B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dan Nickerson 35.3% 25.8% 15.3% 11.2% 6.0% 3.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Hollerbach 9.3% 9.3% 13.9% 14.8% 13.7% 13.2% 11.6% 8.3% 4.5% 1.4%
Mark Gargula 9.3% 11.2% 12.2% 13.2% 17.1% 13.1% 12.2% 7.1% 3.9% 0.7%
Jessica Claflin 20.8% 24.9% 20.3% 13.7% 10.0% 6.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Alexander Rudkin 9.5% 8.3% 10.5% 14.5% 11.9% 16.8% 11.9% 9.1% 5.8% 1.7%
Jeffrey Chace 6.6% 7.7% 8.6% 9.6% 13.1% 13.2% 14.7% 11.4% 10.8% 4.3%
Ellen Kintz 2.6% 2.8% 6.2% 7.3% 7.8% 10.6% 14.2% 18.2% 18.8% 11.5%
Samuel Morley 1.9% 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 6.2% 7.5% 9.6% 13.9% 22.9% 27.1%
Myles Gibbs 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.7% 4.8% 3.7% 7.2% 12.4% 18.6% 45.5%
William Dykes 3.3% 5.7% 7.0% 8.7% 9.4% 12.1% 14.0% 17.8% 14.3% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.