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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+5.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+4.32vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+4.08vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20+3.51vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+3.16vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-0.18vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45+0.17vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.24vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.90-2.98vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.67-0.41vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.38-3.63vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.79vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.39-2.22vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.99vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.88-1.84vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.71-5.79vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.72-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Harvard University3.0510.6%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.6%1st Place
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7.32Brown University2.857.9%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University2.406.7%1st Place
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8.51Boston College2.205.7%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island2.785.1%1st Place
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6.82Yale University2.929.2%1st Place
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8.17Roger Williams University2.456.8%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.8%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College2.908.0%1st Place
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10.59Tufts University1.673.6%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.386.7%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.3%1st Place
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11.78Boston University1.393.3%1st Place
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14.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
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14.16Connecticut College0.881.4%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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14.25University of Vermont0.721.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| John Eastman | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 23.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 26.4% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.