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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+7.12vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.38+6.37vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+4.25vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.35vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+3.13vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40+2.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+7.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.86vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.92-1.97vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-2.89vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.20-2.27vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.67-1.08vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-1.36vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-7.76vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.05-1.65vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.39-4.10vs Predicted
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17University of Texas1.01-3.25vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.78-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.7%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.386.3%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College2.908.5%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.5%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University2.456.3%1st Place
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8.01Roger Williams University2.407.0%1st Place
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14.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.1%1st Place
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7.03Yale University2.928.6%1st Place
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7.11Brown University2.859.3%1st Place
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8.73Boston College2.205.8%1st Place
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10.92Tufts University1.673.6%1st Place
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11.64Northeastern University1.712.5%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University3.0511.1%1st Place
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13.35University of Vermont1.051.9%1st Place
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11.9Boston University1.392.5%1st Place
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13.75University of Texas1.011.6%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island2.784.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 27.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| John Eastman | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Will Priebe | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 19.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% |
| Matias Martin | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 22.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.