Race 6B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alexander Rudkin 8.4% 9.8% 11.4% 11.9% 13.2% 15.0% 14.1% 8.8% 5.8% 1.6%
Ian Hollerbach 10.0% 9.2% 11.9% 13.8% 15.2% 14.6% 11.0% 8.9% 4.5% 0.9%
Dan Nickerson 32.7% 25.1% 18.9% 13.3% 5.4% 2.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Claflin 22.4% 23.9% 17.7% 15.4% 10.9% 5.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Ellen Kintz 3.5% 5.8% 5.7% 5.5% 9.6% 10.2% 12.4% 18.3% 19.8% 9.2%
Mark Gargula 10.5% 10.7% 13.3% 14.1% 14.4% 14.6% 10.4% 7.1% 3.6% 1.3%
Lyndsay Stockwell 1.3% 0.7% 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 4.1% 6.8% 9.6% 20.3% 50.8%
Jeffrey Chace 5.3% 7.0% 10.4% 9.6% 12.9% 14.0% 14.0% 13.9% 9.2% 3.7%
William Dykes 4.3% 4.7% 6.1% 9.3% 10.4% 12.0% 15.9% 16.2% 14.1% 7.0%
Samuel Morley 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 5.4% 5.0% 7.3% 10.7% 16.0% 22.5% 25.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.