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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.12vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.91vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.20+5.50vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+2.31vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40+3.11vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85+1.28vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71+4.59vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45+0.23vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.90-1.98vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.39+2.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.23vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.67-0.85vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05+0.52vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.94vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-5.98vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.38-7.66vs Predicted
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17University of Texas1.01-3.32vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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6.91Yale University2.929.2%1st Place
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8.5Boston College2.205.7%1st Place
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6.31Harvard University3.0511.3%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University2.406.8%1st Place
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7.28Brown University2.858.6%1st Place
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11.59Northeastern University1.712.8%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University2.457.4%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College2.907.2%1st Place
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12.2Boston University1.392.2%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.0%1st Place
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11.15Tufts University1.672.8%1st Place
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13.52University of Vermont1.051.6%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.7%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island2.785.4%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.386.7%1st Place
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13.68University of Texas1.011.4%1st Place
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14.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| John Eastman | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 21.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Matias Martin | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 22.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.