Race 7B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jessica Claflin 24.5% 23.2% 18.0% 12.3% 9.4% 6.4% 4.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Ian Hollerbach 9.5% 8.5% 14.7% 13.9% 13.7% 14.0% 11.3% 8.6% 4.6% 1.2%
Dan Nickerson 32.5% 27.1% 17.4% 12.4% 6.6% 2.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Rudkin 7.4% 8.9% 11.0% 14.5% 14.9% 13.1% 13.3% 10.2% 5.0% 1.7%
Mark Gargula 10.2% 11.6% 12.1% 15.2% 14.3% 12.9% 12.0% 6.4% 4.3% 1.0%
William Dykes 5.3% 5.9% 5.8% 7.3% 10.6% 12.7% 13.2% 17.7% 14.4% 7.1%
Jeffrey Chace 4.1% 7.9% 8.4% 11.6% 12.6% 13.4% 15.4% 12.6% 10.3% 3.7%
Lyndsay Stockwell 1.1% 1.1% 2.2% 2.8% 4.0% 4.7% 6.6% 10.5% 16.8% 50.2%
Ellen Kintz 3.4% 3.7% 6.2% 5.6% 8.5% 12.4% 13.9% 17.8% 17.4% 11.1%
Samuel Morley 2.0% 2.1% 4.2% 4.4% 5.4% 8.1% 8.8% 14.1% 26.9% 24.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.