Race 8B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Hollerbach 10.2% 9.9% 12.5% 13.5% 15.9% 14.8% 9.3% 7.8% 4.6% 1.5%
Alexander Rudkin 8.8% 7.8% 11.2% 11.2% 17.3% 11.9% 14.7% 9.8% 6.5% 0.8%
Dan Nickerson 32.7% 24.6% 19.4% 12.7% 5.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Claflin 22.2% 23.0% 20.1% 14.4% 10.9% 5.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Ellen Kintz 3.5% 6.3% 4.9% 6.0% 8.2% 10.6% 13.2% 17.5% 21.0% 8.8%
William Dykes 5.6% 5.4% 5.5% 8.6% 9.0% 13.1% 15.9% 16.0% 14.0% 6.9%
Lyndsay Stockwell 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 1.3% 3.5% 5.0% 6.0% 10.4% 19.1% 50.9%
Mark Gargula 8.4% 12.9% 12.8% 15.0% 14.0% 13.9% 11.7% 6.6% 3.6% 1.1%
Jeffrey Chace 5.8% 6.3% 8.8% 12.3% 10.4% 14.2% 14.7% 14.4% 9.1% 4.0%
Samuel Morley 1.6% 2.9% 3.1% 5.0% 5.3% 7.3% 10.7% 16.3% 21.8% 26.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.