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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+5.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.18vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.78+6.23vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+4.14vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+2.23vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.16vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+1.44vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.90-0.89vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45-0.85vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-2.99vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05+2.42vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-0.20vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-1.42vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.67-3.14vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.92vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.89-1.91vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-8.28vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.20-9.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Harvard University3.0510.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University2.405.5%1st Place
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7.23Brown University2.858.6%1st Place
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.7%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College2.386.1%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College2.909.8%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University2.455.9%1st Place
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7.01Yale University2.9210.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Vermont1.051.2%1st Place
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11.8Boston University1.392.5%1st Place
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11.58Northeastern University1.713.5%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University1.673.8%1st Place
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14.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.2%1st Place
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14.09Connecticut College0.891.7%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.4%1st Place
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8.39Boston College2.205.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 18.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% |
| John Eastman | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 27.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 26.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.