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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+6.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.05vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+5.30vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+5.05vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.39+7.10vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92+0.98vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.40+0.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.84vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.85-1.75vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-3.58vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.20-2.50vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.67-1.20vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.45-4.76vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.89+0.11vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.71-3.46vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.05-2.42vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-8.92vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Dartmouth College2.907.9%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.1%1st Place
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8.3Bowdoin College2.387.3%1st Place
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9.05University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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12.1Boston University1.392.2%1st Place
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6.98Yale University2.928.8%1st Place
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7.92Roger Williams University2.406.7%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.0%1st Place
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7.25Brown University2.858.9%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University3.0510.3%1st Place
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8.5Boston College2.205.8%1st Place
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10.8Tufts University1.673.9%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University2.456.9%1st Place
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14.11Connecticut College0.891.6%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University1.712.6%1st Place
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13.58University of Vermont1.051.4%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.8%1st Place
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13.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| John Eastman | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 26.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 20.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.