Race 9B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jessica Claflin 24.4% 24.3% 17.9% 12.4% 9.0% 5.9% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Jeffrey Chace 6.8% 5.0% 9.8% 10.1% 11.9% 14.2% 15.1% 13.0% 10.6% 3.5%
Dan Nickerson 32.2% 25.4% 20.2% 12.0% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Mark Gargula 8.1% 11.9% 13.2% 15.7% 14.2% 15.1% 9.8% 6.9% 4.2% 0.9%
Alexander Rudkin 8.6% 10.1% 10.0% 11.6% 14.6% 15.3% 14.3% 8.7% 5.4% 1.4%
Ian Hollerbach 10.0% 10.7% 11.2% 15.3% 15.2% 12.6% 12.4% 8.1% 3.2% 1.3%
Lyndsay Stockwell 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 2.6% 3.1% 4.1% 5.9% 10.6% 19.9% 50.5%
Ellen Kintz 2.8% 4.0% 6.0% 8.2% 8.3% 10.9% 12.6% 19.3% 18.1% 9.8%
William Dykes 4.1% 5.0% 6.7% 7.8% 12.1% 12.0% 14.2% 16.9% 14.6% 6.6%
Samuel Morley 1.9% 2.5% 3.9% 4.3% 6.0% 7.0% 10.3% 14.6% 23.6% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.