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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+6.67vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+2.15vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+6.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.29+3.29vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.39+1.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.06vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.61+1.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+2.66vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.94-1.23vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07+0.67vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.91-6.51vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.87-0.69vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-5.03vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.32vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.07-3.23vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.20-5.42vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.27-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Boston College2.565.8%1st Place
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4.15Harvard University3.1819.1%1st Place
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9.36Bowdoin College2.034.2%1st Place
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7.29Yale University2.298.2%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College2.398.3%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.6%1st Place
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5.77Roger Williams University2.6811.9%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island1.614.0%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.8%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University1.944.2%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University1.072.2%1st Place
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5.49Brown University2.9112.2%1st Place
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12.31University of Vermont0.871.8%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.9%1st Place
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15.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.1%1st Place
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12.77Boston University1.071.7%1st Place
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11.58Connecticut College1.201.8%1st Place
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11.4Tufts University1.272.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.1% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Jack Derry | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 5.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 10.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 46.4% |
| Porter Bell | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.