Race 10B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jeffrey Chace 6.8% 6.0% 9.9% 11.4% 11.7% 12.7% 13.3% 14.8% 9.0% 4.4%
Mark Gargula 9.0% 11.5% 11.3% 15.0% 15.9% 14.0% 10.3% 7.7% 4.4% 0.9%
Ellen Kintz 3.2% 3.9% 5.8% 6.3% 8.0% 10.1% 14.3% 17.7% 19.5% 11.2%
Dan Nickerson 34.2% 25.4% 18.5% 10.9% 6.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Jessica Claflin 23.5% 22.4% 20.2% 13.6% 10.5% 5.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Ian Hollerbach 9.1% 11.8% 11.9% 12.7% 15.1% 13.9% 12.8% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2%
Alexander Rudkin 6.3% 10.4% 11.0% 14.6% 13.3% 14.9% 13.7% 8.5% 5.1% 2.2%
Samuel Morley 2.0% 2.4% 4.1% 4.4% 5.4% 8.7% 9.6% 15.2% 24.6% 23.6%
William Dykes 4.6% 5.3% 5.5% 8.2% 10.3% 13.0% 16.5% 16.2% 13.5% 6.9%
Lyndsay Stockwell 1.3% 0.9% 1.8% 2.9% 3.4% 5.1% 5.7% 9.9% 19.4% 49.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.