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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.94+7.73vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.91+3.31vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+8.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+1.79vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.18-0.90vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.83vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.29+0.19vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.39-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.61+1.07vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56-2.28vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.91vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.27-0.86vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-1.30vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.07-1.28vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.50vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-6.35vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.87-4.60vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.20-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.73Roger Williams University1.945.1%1st Place
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5.31Brown University2.9113.9%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.3%1st Place
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5.79Roger Williams University2.6811.4%1st Place
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4.1Harvard University3.1819.5%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.0%1st Place
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7.19Yale University2.297.4%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College2.397.7%1st Place
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10.07University of Rhode Island1.613.6%1st Place
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7.72Boston College2.565.7%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.9%1st Place
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11.14Tufts University1.272.5%1st Place
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11.7Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
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12.72Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
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15.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.7%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College2.033.5%1st Place
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12.4University of Vermont0.871.8%1st Place
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11.39Connecticut College1.202.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Dale | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.5% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 12.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 46.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.