← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Drew Mastovsky 8.7% 8.8% 9.2% 9.8% 11.1% 11.7% 12.5% 13.1% 9.9% 5.2%
Cam Spriggs 14.4% 14.6% 14.1% 15.2% 12.2% 9.7% 9.3% 6.7% 2.9% 0.8%
Ethan Danielson 7.1% 11.2% 10.1% 9.8% 10.7% 12.5% 13.7% 11.1% 10.3% 3.5%
Max Katz-Christy 8.7% 7.6% 9.7% 10.0% 10.0% 12.6% 11.3% 13.0% 11.9% 5.1%
Robby Meek 27.8% 20.8% 18.3% 13.0% 9.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Gus Macaulay 10.9% 12.4% 11.4% 12.3% 12.5% 12.5% 9.4% 8.8% 7.2% 2.4%
Owen Grainger 5.9% 6.8% 6.5% 7.8% 9.3% 11.7% 12.7% 13.7% 15.9% 9.7%
Charlie Allen 9.6% 10.3% 12.2% 11.8% 11.9% 11.5% 10.5% 10.5% 8.7% 2.9%
Gavin Sanborn 4.5% 5.4% 6.0% 7.4% 10.2% 9.0% 11.5% 14.6% 19.1% 12.3%
Katherine Mason 2.2% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 3.4% 5.8% 7.0% 13.2% 58.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.