← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.84+4.52vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.74+2.18vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.18+2.40vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+1.61vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.45-2.03vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.59-1.17vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island0.82-0.75vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston1.30-2.92vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont0.56-2.40vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.52Roger Williams University1.848.7%1st Place
-
4.18Brown University1.7414.4%1st Place
-
5.4Bowdoin College1.187.1%1st Place
-
5.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.258.7%1st Place
-
2.97Harvard University2.4527.8%1st Place
-
4.83Tufts University1.5910.9%1st Place
-
6.25University of Rhode Island0.825.9%1st Place
-
5.08College of Charleston1.309.6%1st Place
-
6.6University of Vermont0.564.5%1st Place
-
8.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drew Mastovsky | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 5.2% |
Cam Spriggs | 14.4% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Ethan Danielson | 7.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
Max Katz-Christy | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 5.1% |
Robby Meek | 27.8% | 20.8% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Gus Macaulay | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
Owen Grainger | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 9.7% |
Charlie Allen | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
Gavin Sanborn | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 12.3% |
Katherine Mason | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.