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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.29+6.18vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.91+3.21vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61+5.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+6.32vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.94+2.58vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+0.60vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+0.85vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+2.47vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-0.57vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.39-4.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-2.20vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-7.36vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.87-1.76vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.27-4.04vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.27-1.46vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.07-4.42vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Yale University2.297.6%1st Place
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5.21Brown University2.9113.8%1st Place
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4.03Harvard University3.1819.6%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island1.613.0%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.0%1st Place
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8.58Roger Williams University1.945.2%1st Place
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7.6Boston College2.565.3%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.3%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University1.072.8%1st Place
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9.43Bowdoin College2.034.0%1st Place
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6.66Dartmouth College2.397.6%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.033.8%1st Place
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5.64Roger Williams University2.6811.5%1st Place
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12.24University of Vermont0.872.1%1st Place
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10.96Tufts University1.272.8%1st Place
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14.54Connecticut College0.271.1%1st Place
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12.58Boston University1.072.0%1st Place
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15.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 19.6% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Jack Derry | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 28.3% |
| Porter Bell | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 18.4% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.